Censor
- patients were censored if “Prone to death” status was determined more then 2 days after admission
Reason For Censor
|
N
|
Late answer
|
53
|
Not Censored
|
9891
|
Table 1
Demographic and clinical features - All Patients
|
Overall
|
Not prone to death
|
Prone to death
|
p
|
Missing
|
n
|
9,891
|
8,918
|
973
|
|
|
Age - Median (IQR)
|
73.2 (62.9-82.9)
|
72.7 (62.6-82.4)
|
77.7 (66.3-88)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Male - N (%)
|
5,213 (53)
|
4,754 (53)
|
459 (47)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
BMI - Median (IQR)
|
26 (23.1-29.7)
|
26.1 (23.3-29.9)
|
24.2 (21-27.3)
|
<0.001
|
45.9
|
DM - N (%)
|
2,818 (28)
|
2,584 (29)
|
234 (24)
|
0.001
|
0
|
Dyslipidemia - N (%)
|
1,788 (18)
|
1,671 (19)
|
117 (12)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
IHD - N (%)
|
2,357 (24)
|
2,158 (24)
|
199 (20)
|
0.01
|
0
|
CHF - N (%)
|
1,160 (12)
|
1,059 (12)
|
101 (10)
|
0.186
|
0
|
Stroke - N (%)
|
2,138 (22)
|
1,902 (21)
|
236 (24)
|
0.039
|
0
|
Dementia - N (%)
|
551 (6)
|
424 (5)
|
127 (13)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
COPD - N (%)
|
822 (8)
|
750 (8)
|
72 (7.4)
|
0.306
|
0
|
Solid Malignancy - N (%)
|
1,680 (17)
|
1,185 (13)
|
495 (51)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Hematologic Malignancy - N (%)
|
335 (3)
|
307 (3)
|
28 (2.9)
|
0.406
|
0
|
Chronic Meds AntiHypertensive - N (%)
|
5,175 (52)
|
4,794 (54)
|
381 (39)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Chronic Meds Antiagregants - N (%)
|
4,271 (43)
|
3,982 (45)
|
289 (30)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Chronic Meds Antiepileptic - N (%)
|
1,191 (12)
|
1,032 (12)
|
159 (16)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Chronic Meds LipidLowering - N (%)
|
4,421 (45)
|
4,191 (47)
|
230 (24)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
Chronic Meds Diuretics - N (%)
|
2,451 (25)
|
2,221 (25)
|
230 (24)
|
0.407
|
0
|
Chronic Meds antiCoagulant - N (%)
|
750 (8)
|
640 (7)
|
110 (11)
|
<0.001
|
0
|
HGB - Median (IQR)
|
11.93 (10.38-13.29)
|
12.03 (10.55-13.38)
|
10.55 (9.15-12.1)
|
<0.001
|
5.7
|
eGFR MDRD - Median (IQR)
|
76.5 (51.7-101.6)
|
77 (52.8-101.3)
|
71.1 (40.6-106.8)
|
0.005
|
3.9
|
Kaplan-Meier

Univariate analysis
Variables in univariate model
|
exp(coef) [confint]
|
p
|
prone.to.death
|
7.58 [7.02, 8.19]
|
<0.001
|
Age
|
1.04 [1.04, 1.05]
|
<0.001
|
Male
|
0.99 [0.93, 1.05]
|
0.796
|
BMI
|
0.96 [0.95, 0.97]
|
<0.001
|
DM
|
1.26 [1.18, 1.35]
|
<0.001
|
Dyslipidemia
|
0.93 [0.86, 1.01]
|
0.069
|
IHD
|
1.34 [1.26, 1.44]
|
<0.001
|
COPD
|
1.60 [1.46, 1.76]
|
<0.001
|
SolidMalignancy
|
2.51 [2.34, 2.69]
|
<0.001
|
Dementia
|
2.77 [2.51, 3.06]
|
<0.001
|
HematologicMalignancy
|
1.35 [1.16, 1.56]
|
<0.001
|
ChronicMeds_AntiHypertensive
|
1.04 [0.98, 1.11]
|
0.195
|
ChronicMeds_Antiagregants
|
0.95 [0.90, 1.01]
|
0.133
|
ChronicMeds_Antiepileptic
|
1.27 [1.16, 1.38]
|
<0.001
|
ChronicMeds_LipidLowering
|
0.74 [0.69, 0.78]
|
<0.001
|
ChronicMeds_Diuretics
|
1.87 [1.76, 2.00]
|
<0.001
|
ChronicMeds_antiCoagulant
|
1.64 [1.48, 1.81]
|
<0.001
|
HGB
|
0.80 [0.79, 0.81]
|
<0.001
|
eGFR_MDRD
|
0.99 [0.99, 0.99]
|
<0.001
|
Multivariate Model
Multivariate Model
|
exp(coef) [confint]
|
p
|
prone.to.death
|
3.25 [2.85, 3.71]
|
<0.001
|
Age
|
1.03 [1.02, 1.03]
|
<0.001
|
Male
|
1.17 [1.08, 1.28]
|
<0.001
|
BMI
|
0.97 [0.96, 0.98]
|
<0.001
|
DM
|
1.10 [1.01, 1.21]
|
0.031
|
Dyslipidemia
|
0.89 [0.80, 0.99]
|
0.026
|
IHD
|
0.97 [0.88, 1.07]
|
0.506
|
CHF
|
1.57 [1.41, 1.75]
|
<0.001
|
Stroke
|
0.98 [0.89, 1.08]
|
0.714
|
Dementia
|
1.47 [1.26, 1.71]
|
<0.001
|
COPD
|
1.41 [1.24, 1.60]
|
<0.001
|
SolidMalignancy
|
1.78 [1.62, 1.96]
|
<0.001
|
HematologicMalignancy
|
1.29 [1.08, 1.55]
|
0.006
|
HGB
|
0.88 [0.87, 0.90]
|
<0.001
|
as.factor(eGFR_MDRD < 30)TRUE
|
1.43 [1.27, 1.62]
|
<0.001
|
Propensity Matching
General mortality
## exp(coef) [confint] p
## prone.to.death 2.86 [2.38, 3.43] <0.001
30 Day Mortality
## Call: survfit(formula = Surv(time = time.to.endpoint, event = death) ~
## prone.to.death, data = propensity.data)
##
## prone.to.death=0
## time n.risk n.event survival std.err lower 95% CI
## 30.0000 340.0000 15.0000 0.9577 0.0107 0.9370
## upper 95% CI
## 0.9789
##
## prone.to.death=1
## time n.risk n.event survival std.err lower 95% CI
## 30.0000 292.0000 63.0000 0.8225 0.0203 0.7837
## upper 95% CI
## 0.8633
Population was matched using 1:1 nearest neighbor technique. The following variables were used to perform the Matching: Age, Male, BMI,DM,Dyslipidemia,IHD,CHF,Stroke,Dementia,COPD,Solid Malignancy, Hematologic Malignancy,HGB and eGFR
Final matched cohort consisted of 710, 355 patients in each group
Univariate analysis
|
exp(coef) [confint]
|
p
|
prone.to.death
|
2.86 [2.38, 3.43]
|
<0.001
|
Quality of match

Survival in matched poopulation
