Lists

List of Contents

• 1. Introduction
  • 1.1 Aim
  • 1.2 Scope
  • 1.3 Objectives
  • 1.4 Specific Requirements
  • 1.5 Justification
• 2. Air Transport Evolution and Forecast before COVID-19
• 3. Pandemic Arrival and Evolution
• 4 Routes Impact Analysis
  • 4.1 Methodology
  • 4.2 Database
  • 4.3 Analysis
    • 4.3.1 The pandemic outbrake throughout the schedule adjustments
    • 4.3.2 The air cargo phenomena
    • 4.3.3 Evolution of the frequencies cancelled per airline
    • 4.3.4 Affected Airlines
    • 4.3.5 Duration and anticipation of the adjustments
    • 4.3.6 Airlines' Strategy
• 5. The Scenarios for the Future of the Air Transport
• 6. Conclusions

List of Figures

• Figure 2.1: Traffic Forecast for 2038. Source: (Airbus 2019).
• Figure 2.2: Traffic Forecast for 2038. Source: (ICAO 2012).
• Figure 2.3: World Economic growth vs air traffic growth. Source: (ICAO 2012).
• Figure 2.4: Total route creation. Source: (Airbus 2019).
• Figure 3.1: Some of the most affected foreign carriers by the China lockdown.
• Figure 3.2: Airlines forming the IAG, AirFrance KLM and Lufthansa Group.
• Figure 3.3: The big three airlines in the United States.
• Figure 3.4: New confirmed cases of COVID-19 per region.
• Figure 4.1: The United Nations geoscheme.
• Figure 4.2: Evolution of the affected routes by COVID-19.
• Figure 4.3: Net Frequencies Curve.
• Figure 4.4: Air Cargo volume and capacity during the months of March, April and May. Source: CLIVE Data Services.
• Figure 4.5: Oil price evolution during the first quarter of 2020. Source: Refinitiv.
• Figure 4.6: Austrian Airlines 777-200 being loaded with cargo in the passenger cabin. Source: Austrian Airlines.
• Figure 4.7: Swiss International Airlines cabin filled with boxes. Source: Swiss WorldCargo.
• Figure 4.8: Evolution of the cancelled frequencies per airline.
• Figure 4.9: Evolution of the confirmed cases per country.
• Figure 4.10: List of Airlines Affected.
• Figure 4.11: Number of Airlines Affected per Region.
• Figure 4.12: Number of Cancellations per Region.
• Figure 4.13: Evolution of the average duration of the adjustments.
• Figure 4.14: Evolution of the average anticipation of the adjustments.
• Figure 5.1: Passenger Revenue Loss per region. Source: ICAO
• Figure 5.2: Scenarios for passenger seat capacity. Source: ICAO
• Figure 6.1: Number of cases per region vs number of canceled frequencies.
• Figure 6.2: Tracking the massive impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the world’s airline industry in early 2020. Source: South China Morning Post.
• Figure 6.3: Evolution of the countries that have imposed a global travel ban in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
• Figure 6.4: Spreading of the coronavirus.

List of Tables

• Table 4.1: Database structure.
• Table 4.2: Database's characteristic values.
• Table 4.3: Classification of the airlines that applied increases in frequencies from March 15 to April 7.